Spain look set to claim the World Cup again when they meet Argentina at MetLife Stadium on 19 Jul 2026. Their run through the knockout stages has been clinical, with a 2-0 semi-final win over France on 14 Jul backing up earlier group victories like the 4-0 thrashing of Saudi Arabia on 21 Jun.
Argentina arrive with their own momentum after beating England 2-1 in the other semi on 15 Jul. They've needed extra time in a couple of ties, including the 3-1 quarter-final against Switzerland on 12 Jul, yet Lionel Messi keeps delivering with eight goals already in the tournament.
Spain's attack has Mikel Oyarzabal leading the way on five goals, and Lamine Yamal looks sharp on the wing despite a minor knock. Rodri should help control the midfield alongside Fabian Ruiz. But Yeremy Pino misses out with a shoulder issue from the Uruguay game, and Victor Munoz is also sidelined.
Argentina count on Messi and Julian Alvarez up front in a 4-1-3-2 shape, with Enzo Fernandez adding goals from deeper. Lautaro Martinez netted the winner against England. Facundo Medina is racing to be fit, though Cristian Romero and Leandro Paredes have recovered.
Expected lineups point to Spain lining up with Unai Simon in goal, Pedro Porro at right-back and Marc Cucurella on the left, while Argentina will rely on Emiliano Martinez and the backline of Nahuel Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martinez and Nicolas Tagliafico. Spain hold a 58 percent win probability according to the markets.
They should have enough to lift the trophy, though Argentina's experience as defending champions means nothing is certain. The 8pm BST kick-off promises a tight contest between two sides that have both been unbeaten in recent matches.
Recommended Bets
Spain win @1.85 — They've posted three straight victories including a clean sheet in the semi, while Argentina have gone to extra time twice.
Messi anytime goalscorer @1.90 — Eight goals already and still the focal point for Argentina in the final.
Over 2.5 goals @2.10 — Both teams have averaged high-scoring knockout games, with Spain's 4-0 group win and Argentina's 3-2 results standing out.
Odds tend to shorten closer to kickoff — lock in value now.
